| 引用本文：张强, 张健明.老年人口与卫生资源空间匹配的演进趋势——基于上海统计数据的实证分析[J].中国卫生政策研究,2019,12(7):18-23 |
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| 老年人口与卫生资源空间匹配的演进趋势——基于上海统计数据的实证分析 |
| 投稿时间：2018-06-11 修订日期：2019-03-01 PDF全文浏览 HTML全文浏览 |
| 张强, 张健明 |
| 上海工程技术大学 社会科学学院 上海 201620 |
| 摘要:目的：为提高老年医疗资源空间配给的精准性，基于老年人口与卫生资源空间匹配的视角，为政府优化老年医疗资源提供思路借鉴。方法：基于统计年鉴数据，采用主成分分析、灰色预测和回归分析等方法，对老年人口与卫生资源空间匹配的演进趋势进行分析。结果：老年人口发展指数呈现上升态势，卫生资源综合指数平稳下降，老年人口与卫生资源匹配度加强，但面临压力。结论：老年人口空间分布日趋优化，更加合理；老年人口卫生资源综合指数波动下降，公共服务均等化需要更加坚决的推进；老年人口与卫生资源空间匹配需要综合理性判断。 |
| 关键词:老年人口 卫生资源 空间匹配 |
| 基金项目:国家社会科学基金（16CGL068） |
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| The evolution of thematching on elderly population and healthcare resource space: An empirical analysis based on Shanghai statistical data |
| ZHANG Qiang, ZHANG Jian-ming |
| Shanghai University of Engineering Science, Faculty of Social Science, Shanghai 201620, China |
| Abstract:Objective:In order to improve the spatial accuracy of medical resources allocation for the elderly population. Based on the perspective of the correlation between elderly population and healthcare resources available in the space, this paper provides a reference for the government to optimize the medical resources allocation system. Methods:Data from the Statistical Yearbook, the Principal Component Analysis, and the Grey Prediction and Regression Analysis were used to analyze the evolution trend of spatial correlation between elderly population and health resources. Results:The results of the study confirmed that the development index of the elderly population showed an increasing trend, the comprehensive index of health resources slightly declined, and the matching between elderly population and health resources was strong but under pressure. Conclusions:The spatial distribution of the elderly population was progressively optimized and more reasonable. The basic public services equity policy related to the elderly population's healthcare needs continues to be promoted; and the correlation between the elderly population and healthcare resources needs comprehensive and rational decree. |
| Key words:Elderly population Health resources Spatial matching |
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