| 引用本文：陈南希, 张文杰, 付媛山, 吴绍棠.基于合成控制法的中部地区健康城市试点政策效应评估研究[J].中国卫生政策研究,2023,16(1):9-18 |
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| 基于合成控制法的中部地区健康城市试点政策效应评估研究 |
| 投稿时间：2022-10-18 修订日期：2022-12-07 PDF全文浏览 HTML全文浏览 |
| 陈南希1,2, 张文杰3, 付媛山1,2, 吴绍棠1,2 |
1. 武汉大学公共卫生学院 湖北武汉 430071;
2. 武汉大学全球健康研究中心 湖北武汉 430072;
3. 浙江大学医学院附属第四医院 浙江义乌 322000 |
| 摘要:目的：了解马鞍山市、宜春市、郑州市和宜昌市4个试点健康城市建设进展，评估试点政策效应并提出对策建议。方法：构建健康城市综合指数，评估试点健康城市建设进展；采用合成控制法，基于中部地区57个地级城市2011-2020年数据，对试点政策效应进行评估，并运用处置组变换及排序检验进行结果稳健性检验。结果：健康城市试点政策实施后，4个试点城市健康城市建设进展明显加快，试点政策对宜春、郑州及宜昌的健康城市建设具有显著提升效应，且郑州市的效应提升最为明显。结论：4个试点城市健康城市建设进展明显，试点政策可有效推进健康城市建设；未来应扩大健康城市建设范围、加强部门合作、促进资源整合、完善建设评估，以实现高质量建设。 |
| 关键词:健康城市 合成控制法 中部地区 政策效应评估 |
| 基金项目:湖北省卫生健康委员会委托课题；湖北省自然科学基金项目(2022CFB263) |
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| Effect evaluation of healthy city pilot policy in central China based on synthetic control method |
| CHEN Nan-xi1,2, ZHANG Wen-jie3, FU Yuan-shan1,2, WU Shao-tang1,2 |
1. School of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan Hubei 430071, China;
2. Wuhan University Global Health Institute, Wuhan Hubei 430072, China;
3. The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Yiwu Zhejiang 322000, China |
| Abstract:Objective: To inspect the progress of healthy city construction in the four pilot cities: Maanshan, Yichun, Zhengzhou and Yichang, evaluate the effect of the pilot policy and raise countermeasures and suggestions. Methods: A comprehensive healthy city index system was constructed to evaluate the progress of healthy city construction in pilot cities; the effect of pilot policies was evaluated using the synthetic control method and based on the data of 57 prefecture-level cities in central China from 2011 to 2020. The robustness of the results was tested by the treatment group transformation test and ranking test. Results: After the implementation of the healthy city pilot policy, the progress of healthy city construction in the four pilot cities was obviously accelerated. The pilot policy had a significant improving effect on the healthy city construction of Yichun, Zhengzhou and Yichang, among which the effect was the most significant in Zhengzhou. Conclusion: The four pilot cities have made evident progress in healthy city construction, suggesting that the pilot policy can effectively promote healthy city construction. In the future, the government should expand the scope of healthy city construction, strengthen inter-departmental cooperation, promote resource integration and improve construction evaluation, so as to achieve high-quality construction. |
| Key words:Healthy city Synthetic control method Central China Policy effect evaluation |
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